Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Alvarado is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 44%, implied 25%, edge +18.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:08AM UTC
NBA

Jose Alvarado

New York Knicks

+18.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 9.5 +293 (3.93) · $100→$393
+18.2% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
8.4 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 43.6% · the book's price implies 25.4% · gap +18.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs43.6%—25.4%2.29+18.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+293)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jose Alvarado. While his recent stats might not jump off the page-averaging just over 5 points and 2.4 rebounds in his last five games-there's more to unpack here. Alvarado has shown a knack for stepping up against tough opponents, with an average of 6 points when playing away against the Knicks, which is notably higher than his overall performance. The Spurs' defense has been vulnerable to quick guards, allowing players like Alvarado to exploit gaps in their setup. With a hit rate of 5 out of his last 12 away games, he's proven he can rise to the occasion. Given the stakes and his ability to find opportunities, betting on Alvarado to surpass 9.5 combined points and rebounds feels like a savvy move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Jose Alvarado — 2024-25 season averages

Over 56 games in the 2024-25 season, Jose Alvarado averaged 10.3 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists in 24.4 minutes per game, shooting 39.2% from the field and 35.9% from three-point range.

10.3
PPG
2.4
RPG
4.6
APG
1.3
SPG
0.3
BPG
24.4
MPG
39.2%
FG%
35.9%
3P%

Jose Alvarado — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jose Alvarado has played 27.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.0
MPG (L5)
17.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jose Alvarado — home vs away scoring

At home Jose Alvarado averages 11.3 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

11.3
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Jose Alvarado — scoring by opponent

Jose Alvarado scores most against the HOU, averaging 10.8 points per game in that matchup.

10.8
HOU
10.7
SA
9.2
LAL
8.1
SAC
7.9
PHX
7.5
OKC

Jose Alvarado — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jose Alvarado has averaged 13.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 4.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs OKC341434
11 Aprvs MIA231430
8 Apr@ BKN231614
4 Apr@ LAL282745
2 Apr@ LAC2717210
30 Marvs CHA301254
28 Marvs GS271034
24 Marvs PHI28936
23 Mar@ DET281048
21 Mar@ MIN18912
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over +293 ✗ MISS
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 3.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Points 3.5 Over +148 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Points — — — Pending
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jose Alvarado (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Alvarado is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.