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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaden Hardy is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 87%, implied 59%, edge +28.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
NBA

Jaden Hardy

Washington Wizards

+28.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 3.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
+28.7% Edge
Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
1.9 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.5% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +28.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers87.5%58.8%1.14+28.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-143)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Jaden Hardy steps onto the court in Brooklyn, the betting landscape tilts toward the under on his three-point total. Despite his recent prowess, with an average of 4.6 makes away from home, the numbers tell a different story against the Nets. Historically, he's managed just 2 threes per game in their last three encounters, which suggests a challenging matchup. Moreover, his consistency has been shaky; while he's hit the mark in 14 of his last 20 away games, that doesn't guarantee success against a Nets defense that can stifle perimeter shooters. With his last five outings averaging 3.4 overall, it seems prudent to expect him to fall short of that crucial 3.5 threshold in this tough away game. Betting the under on Hardy's threes feels like the right move, given the circumstances and historical performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jaden Hardy — 2024-25 season averages

Over 58 games in the 2024-25 season, Jaden Hardy averaged 8.6 points, 1.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists in 15.7 minutes per game, shooting 43.4% from the field and 38.6% from three-point range.

8.6
PPG
1.5
RPG
1.4
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
15.7
MPG
43.4%
FG%
38.6%
3P%

Jaden Hardy — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jaden Hardy has played 19.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

19.0
MPG (L5)
9.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Jaden Hardy — home vs away scoring

At home Jaden Hardy averages 7.1 points per game; on the road, 9.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.1
PPG at home
9.9
PPG on the road

Jaden Hardy — scoring by opponent

Jaden Hardy scores most against the MEM, averaging 13.2 points per game in that matchup.

13.2
MEM
9.5
NO
7.1
MIN
6.5
LAC
5.3
OKC
5.3
SAC

Jaden Hardy — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jaden Hardy has averaged 10.5 points, 1.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Apr@ SAC2000
13 Apr@ MEM341743
11 Aprvs TOR8301
4 Apr@ LAC291655
2 Aprvs ATL221313
31 Marvs BKN19901
29 Mar@ CHI9600
27 Mar@ ORL202230
25 Mar@ NY231520
24 Mar@ BKN13402
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaden Hardy (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaden Hardy is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.7% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets on Sunday 5 April at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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