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The latest Bet Better model pick for Donte DiVincenzo is Under 4.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 63%, edge +14.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
NBA

Donte DiVincenzo

Minnesota Timberwolves

+14.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 4.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+14.6% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
OUT
DiVincenzo will undergo surgery Sunday to repair a ruptured right Achilles tendon that he suffered during the Timberwolves Game 4 win over the Nuggets on Saturday.
updated Apr 26, 5:52PM UTC · 136d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
3.1 Assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.9% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +14.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists77.9%—63.3%1.28+14.6%

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AI Analysis

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Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 4.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Utah Jazz, targeting Donte DiVincenzo for under 4.5 assists feels like a smart play. While he's had a solid run at home, averaging 4.6 assists over his last five games, the matchup against Utah shifts the narrative. DiVincenzo's average against the Jazz dips to 3.8, and he's only cleared 4.5 assists in about 36% of his last 20 outings. His performance at home has been impressive, but the consistency just isn't there when you look closer. With an expected stat value of just 3.1 and an overall hit rate suggesting he's cleared this mark only 8 out of his last 11 home games, the under seems like a savvy move. Given the Jazz's defensive schemes and DiVincenzo's fluctuating playmaking role, this bet offers solid value as he likely falls short on the assist front tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Donte DiVincenzo — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Donte DiVincenzo averaged 11.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists in 25.9 minutes per game, shooting 40.7% from the field and 38.0% from three-point range.

11.1
PPG
3.6
RPG
3.6
APG
1.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
25.9
MPG
40.7%
FG%
38.0%
3P%

Donte DiVincenzo — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Donte DiVincenzo has played 26.6 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

26.6
MPG (L5)
7.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Donte DiVincenzo — points hit rate

Donte DiVincenzo has scored over 11.5 points in 26% of 216 career games.

o11.526%
o12.521%
o15.511%

Donte DiVincenzo — home vs away scoring

At home Donte DiVincenzo averages 12.5 points per game; on the road, 9.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.5
PPG at home
9.9
PPG on the road

Donte DiVincenzo — scoring by opponent

Donte DiVincenzo scores most against the IND, averaging 16.5 points per game in that matchup.

16.5
IND
12.8
WSH
12.2
DAL
12.0
SA
11.8
BKN
11.7
PHX

Donte DiVincenzo — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 8.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ GS26933
10 May@ GS16220
8 Mayvs GS26935
6 Mayvs GS33734
30 Apr@ LAL32945
27 Aprvs LAL29822
25 Aprvs LAL311054
22 Apr@ LAL16432
19 Apr@ LAL25954
13 Aprvs UTAH281632
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Donte DiVincenzo is Under 4.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.6% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday 19 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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