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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dillon Brooks is Over 16.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 49%, edge +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
NBA

Dillon Brooks

Phoenix Suns

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 16.5 +104 (2.04) · $100→$204
+20.8% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
19.5 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.8% · the book's price implies 49.0% · gap +20.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points69.8%49.0%1.43+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Dillon Brooks is primed for a standout performance in this matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Averaging 17 points over his last five games, Brooks has been finding his rhythm, and his recent history against the Thunder is particularly promising, with a solid average of 18.8 points in their last five encounters. While playing on the road, he still manages to score around 12 points, but what's key here is the expected stat value of 19.5. His ability to step up in crucial moments has been evident, as reflected by a hit rate of two out of his last three games. With the Suns likely relying on him to shoulder more of the scoring load against a competitive Thunder squad, the Over 16.5 points looks not just feasible, but very likely. If Brooks brings his A-game, expect him to surpass that threshold effortlessly.

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Pick History & Track Record

Dillon Brooks — 2024-25 season averages

Over 82 games in the 2024-25 season, Dillon Brooks averaged 13.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists in 31.6 minutes per game, shooting 43.0% from the field and 39.4% from three-point range.

13.9
PPG
3.6
RPG
1.7
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
31.6
MPG
43.0%
FG%
39.4%
3P%

Dillon Brooks — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Dillon Brooks has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Dillon Brooks — points hit rate

Dillon Brooks has scored over 12.5 points in 56% of 291 career games.

o11.560%
o12.556%
o15.543%
o20.524%

Dillon Brooks — home vs away scoring

At home Dillon Brooks averages 14.1 points per game; on the road, 13.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

14.1
PPG at home
13.6
PPG on the road

Dillon Brooks — scoring by opponent

Dillon Brooks scores most against the TOR, averaging 19.5 points per game in that matchup.

19.5
TOR
18.1
MIL
17.5
BKN
17.5
OKC
17.1
CHA
16.9
BOS

Dillon Brooks — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Dillon Brooks has averaged 13.9 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Mayvs GS36821
2 May@ GS19312
30 Aprvs GS292412
28 Apr@ GS361160
26 Apr@ GS281361
23 Aprvs GS251631
20 Aprvs GS341132
13 Aprvs DEN22811
6 Apr@ GS292432
2 Aprvs UTAH282120
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dillon Brooks (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dillon Brooks is Over 16.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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