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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 23.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 53%, edge +23.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
NBA

Brice Sensabaugh

Utah Jazz

+23.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 23.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+23.7% Edge
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
19.2 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +23.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points76.9%53.2%1.30+23.7%

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AI Analysis

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Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 23.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz face off against the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Brice Sensabaugh. While his recent scoring average of 25.2 points might suggest a high-scoring night, the reality tells a different story. On the road, he struggles against the Jazz, averaging just 13 points in their last matchup, significantly below the 23.5 mark. Moreover, despite a solid overall hit rate, Sensabaugh has found the road to be particularly challenging, hitting the under in 12 of his last 17 away games. The Jazz's defensive schemes can stifle even the most prolific scorers, and with an expected stat value of just 19.23, it's tough to see him surpassing that threshold. Betting the under here feels prudent; the odds align with the trends, and the matchup presents a compelling narrative of caution.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brice Sensabaugh — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Brice Sensabaugh averaged 10.9 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 20.2 minutes per game, shooting 45.9% from the field and 42.2% from three-point range.

10.9
PPG
3.0
RPG
1.5
APG
0.6
SPG
0.1
BPG
20.2
MPG
45.9%
FG%
42.2%
3P%

Brice Sensabaugh — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Brice Sensabaugh has played 32.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.2
MPG (L5)
18.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Brice Sensabaugh — home vs away scoring

At home Brice Sensabaugh averages 11.2 points per game; on the road, 10.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

11.2
PPG at home
10.5
PPG on the road

Brice Sensabaugh — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Brice Sensabaugh has averaged 16.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ MIN372273
11 Aprvs OKC342556
9 Aprvs POR362244
6 Apr@ ATL291542
4 Apr@ IND259100
2 Apr@ HOU331033
31 Mar@ CHA261915
28 Mar@ DEN221251
27 Marvs HOU241740
25 Marvs MEM21915
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 23.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.7% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 8 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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