Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Troy Johnston is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 25 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 25%, implied 28%, edge -4.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Over 0.5
+260 (3.60) · $100→$360
-4.7% Edge
Colorado Rockies
@
New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 8 Sep, 11:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
23 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 23.0% · the book's price implies 27.8% · gap -4.7%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 23.0% | 25.4% | 27.8% | 3.66 | -4.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Troy Johnston Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+260)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Troy Johnston Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+260). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +260 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $36 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Troy Johnston has gone over 1.5 total bases in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o1.510%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
Troy Johnston is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Troy Johnston is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -4.7% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 8 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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