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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for TJ Friedl is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 5%, implied 5%, edge -0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 5.50 total baseslanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 11, 6:09AM UTC
MLB

TJ Friedl

MLB

-0.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +2000 (21.00) · $100→$2,100
-0.4% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 26 of 140 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 4.4% · the book's price implies 4.8% · gap -0.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored4.4%4.7%4.8%16.69-0.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds: TJ Friedl Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+2000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

TJ Friedl has been on fire lately, getting hits about three times more often than usual. He's been averaging 0.7 hits per game over the last three games, which shows he's really finding his groove at the plate. The Dodgers have been strong against left-handed pitchers, and Friedl's team, the Cincinnati Reds, have also done well against them this year. While the odds are a long shot for him to score over 1.5 runs, there's a chance he might surprise us. The most concrete risk here is that the Reds have been struggling overall, scoring almost a run less than their opponents. Still, Friedl's recent form makes this bet an interesting pick at Dodger Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 73.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Recent form (last 5 games)

TJ Friedl is averaging 2.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 1.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

2.0
Hits
0.0
HR
1.0
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

TJ Friedl has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.5100%
o1.567%
o2.533%
o3.533%
o4.533%

Home / away and opponent splits

TJ Friedl is averaging 2.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.8 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

2.0
Hits · Overall
1.8
Hits · Away
0.7
Hits · vs LAD
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +240 ✗ MISS
10 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -137 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +208 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
05 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Doubles Pending
02 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Hits Pending

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About This Player

TJ Friedl is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 73.3% on tracked TJ Friedl picks. The latest model pick for TJ Friedl is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 10 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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