Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians: Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Steven Kwan has been struggling against left-handed pitchers this year, with his team, the Cleveland Guardians, not hitting well against them overall. The Baltimore Orioles have been pretty solid lately, scoring more than their opponents on average in recent games. Kwan's performance is likely limited by this matchup, and the wind blowing out toward the outfield might help hitters like the Orioles, but it doesn't change the fact that Kwan's numbers are consistently low.
Our numbers suggest he might end up with less than 1.5 total bases in this game, which feels like a good bet. While he's been getting a few hits, the odds are stacked against him today, especially with how he's performed recently. There's a chance he could break out, but Kwan has averaged less than one total base in recent games, so this pick is looking pretty promising.