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The latest Bet Better model pick for Spencer Strider is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 97 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 97%, implied 94%, edge +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 9:06AM UTC
MLB

Spencer Strider

ATL

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 2.5 -1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+2.4% Edge
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Mon 15 Sep, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Strider (elbow) is not expected to return to Atlanta's active roster before the end of this season, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
updated Aug 28, 8:43PM UTC · 12d old
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
97 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 96.7% · the book's price implies 94.3% · gap +2.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed96.7%—94.3%1.03+2.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Spencer Strider (ATL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Spencer Strider for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Strider has consistently allowed above 2.5 hits in his last five games, with an average of 5.6 overall hits allowed and 4.6 when playing away. His pitching also tends to last around 5 innings, providing ample opportunity for hits. Furthermore, his current hit streak is at 10 overall and 16 for away games, suggesting a strong pattern of hits allowed. His performance against the Nationals is also consistent, with an average of 4.2 hits allowed in the last five games. This data indicates a high likelihood of Strider allowing over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Nationals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Spencer Strider is averaging 5.6 hits, 0.8 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.6
Hits
0.8
HR
0.0
RBI
3.2
Runs
2.0
Walks
5.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Spencer Strider has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.540%
o3.520%
o4.510%
o5.512%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Spencer Strider is averaging 5.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.6 in away games, including his recent form against WSN.

5.6
Hits · Overall
4.6
Hits · Away
4.2
Hits · vs WSN
0.8
HR · Overall
0.8
HR · Away
0.6
HR · vs WSN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Spencer Strider (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Spencer Strider is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals on Monday 15 September at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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