Pablo Lopez (MIN) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Pablo Lopez for Over 3.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. In his last five games, regardless of location, Lopez has allowed an average of 6 hits per game, which is significantly higher than the line of 3.5. This trend continues in his away games, where his hits allowed average increases to 6.4. Furthermore, when specifically facing the Tampa Bay Rays, his hits allowed average escalates to 7. Despite an average innings pitched of 5.1 and 5.3 for overall and away games respectively, his hits allowed remain high. These statistics indicate that Lopez is likely to allow more than 3.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Rays, making this bet a statistically sound choice.