Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matt Shaw is Under 0.5 on Batter - Singles.
On Batter - Singles, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 55%, implied 63%, edge -12.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Singles
Under 0.5
-172 (1.58) · $100→$158
-12.6% Edge
Chicago Cubs
@
Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Tue 8 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Singles
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 50.7% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap -12.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Singles | 50.7% | 55.2% | 63.3% | 1.68 | -12.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Matt Shaw Under 0.5 Singles (-172)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Milwaukee Brewers play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Matt Shaw Under 0.5 Singles (-172). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (28 picks)
67.9%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Matt Shaw is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 67.9% on tracked Matt Shaw picks. The latest model pick for Matt Shaw is Under 0.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a slight edge of -12.6% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday 8 September at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.