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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jurickson Profar is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 68%, edge +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 11, 5:59AM UTC
MLB

Jurickson Profar

ATL

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Over 0.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
+4.1% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 7 Sep, 4:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 26 of 140 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
updated May 8, 11:02AM UTC · 125d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.7% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap +4.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits71.7%67.6%1.40+4.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jurickson Profar (ATL) Over 0.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jurickson Profar to have over 0.5 hits is a solid choice, considering his recent performance data. His average hits in the last five games overall and at home are 0.8 and 1 respectively, both higher than the line of 0.5. This indicates a consistent performance. Furthermore, when facing the Mariners, his average hits rises to 1, suggesting he performs well against this particular team. His plate appearances (PA) also remain consistent at 4.2 across all categories, showing he gets ample opportunities to hit. Although his current hit streak is at zero, his averages suggest the likelihood of him getting a hit is high. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet for Profar to have over 0.5 hits in the game against the Mariners.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jurickson Profar is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Jurickson Profar has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jurickson Profar is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in home games, including his recent form against WSN.

0.8
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Home
1.2
Hits · vs WSN
0.0
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.6
HR · vs WSN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jurickson Profar (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jurickson Profar is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 7 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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