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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Quintana is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 56%, edge +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 1.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 8:25AM UTC
MLB

Jose Quintana

MIL

+15.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 3.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
+15.6% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Texas Rangers
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas · Indoor
Tue 9 Sep, 12:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.7% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap +15.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts71.7%56.2%1.39+15.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Jose Quintana's recent performance indicates a solid bet on over 3.5 strikeouts. His last five games show a consistent ability to exceed this line, with an overall average of 4.4 strikeouts per game and an even higher average of 4.8 when playing away. This trend continues against the Texas Rangers, with Quintana averaging 5 strikeouts in his last five games against them. Furthermore, he averages around 6 innings per game, providing ample opportunity to secure the required strikeouts. Although his current hit streak is zero, this is less relevant to a strikeout bet. Therefore, based on Quintana's consistent ability to surpass 3.5 strikeouts, particularly in away games and against the Rangers, this bet is a strong choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jose Quintana is averaging 4.2 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

4.2
Hits
0.2
HR
0.0
RBI
0.8
Runs
1.8
Walks
4.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Jose Quintana has gone over 2.5 SO in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.580%
o3.560%
o4.530%
o5.530%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jose Quintana is averaging 4.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in away games.

4.2
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Away
0.2
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Quintana (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Quintana is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers on Tuesday 9 September at Globe Life Field, Arlington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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