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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Taillon is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 54%, edge +23.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 9.50 Outslanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 7:37AM UTC
MLB

Jameson Taillon

CHC

+23.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs Under 2.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+23.8% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Blue Jays placed Taillon on the 15-day injured list Saturday due to right elbow inflammation.
updated Sep 5, 7:58PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.8% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +23.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Earned Runs77.8%54.1%1.28+23.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Jameson Taillon (CHC) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Toronto Blue Jays play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Taillon (CHC) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-118). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jameson Taillon is averaging 5.0 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
2.8
Runs
1.4
Walks
4.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Jameson Taillon has gone over 0.5 H in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.5100%
o1.5100%
o2.590%
o3.570%
o4.540%
o5.520%
o6.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jameson Taillon is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.0 in home games, including his recent form against MIL.

5.0
Hits · Overall
4.0
Hits · Home
3.8
Hits · vs MIL
1.0
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs MIL
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jameson Taillon (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Taillon is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.8% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Monday 10 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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