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The latest Bet Better model pick for Heriberto Hernandez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 71%, implied 65%, edge +3.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:07AM UTC
MLB

Heriberto Hernandez

MLB

+3.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -185 (1.54) · $100→$154
+3.9% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 68.8% · the book's price implies 64.9% · gap +3.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases68.8%70.6%64.9%1.64+3.9%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets: Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Heriberto Hernandez has struggled a bit this season, with a batting average that's not quite matching his potential. He's averaging only 0.8 strikeouts across ten games at loanDepot Park, but that also means he's not making a lot of solid contact. The Marlins have been scoring about 0.4 runs below average lately, which doesn't help his chances to rack up total bases. The Mets have been hitting well against left-handed pitchers, but Hernandez has a wOBA that's slightly below what you'd expect from his contact. Given how the Marlins have been performing and the stats pointing toward a low total for him, betting on him to get under 1.5 total bases seems like a solid choice. Just remember, he could surprise us all.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (25 picks) 72.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many home runs does Heriberto Hernández hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -149 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Batter - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Heriberto Hernandez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 72.0% on tracked Heriberto Hernandez picks. The latest model pick for Heriberto Hernandez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Wednesday 9 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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