Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eduardo Valencia is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 28 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 28%, implied 5%, edge +21.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:33PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases
Over 0.5
+2100 (22.00) · $100→$2,200
+21.3% Edge
Minnesota Twins
@
Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Tue 8 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 25 of 137 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 25.8% · the book's price implies 4.5% · gap +21.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Stolen Bases | 25.8% | 27.8% | 4.5% | 3.59 | +21.3% |
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Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 Stolen Bases (+2100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Detroit Tigers play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 Stolen Bases (+2100). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at +2100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $220 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (24 picks)
70.8%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Eduardo Valencia is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 70.8% on tracked Eduardo Valencia picks. The latest model pick for Eduardo Valencia is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers on Tuesday 8 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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