Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Edmundo Sosa is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 11%, implied 13%, edge +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Home Runs
Over 0.5
+650 (7.50) · $100→$750
+1.1% Edge
Atlanta Braves
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 10:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
14 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 14.5% · the book's price implies 13.3% · gap +1.1%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Home Runs | 14.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 7.77 | +1.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 2/10 |
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Edmundo Sosa Over 0.5 Home Runs (+650)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Edmundo Sosa Over 0.5 Home Runs (+650). That is a Home Runs bet. It was priced at +650 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $75 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Edmundo Sosa is averaging 0.2 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Edmundo Sosa has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.580%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Edmundo Sosa is averaging 0.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in home games, including his recent form against LAD.
Edmundo Sosa is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edmundo Sosa is Over 0.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday 5 September at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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