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Model picks & player props
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
Memphis Grizzlies

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:26PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 Spread -106

The model graded 4 markets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $194 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.7%
The price says51.5%
Best price-106
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 High73% chance -106
Moneyline High82% chance —
Team Total High87% chance —
Spread Lean58% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder
-10.5
-115
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,781+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Oklahoma City ThunderSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Isaiah Hartenstein CDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
Availability updated Sep 7, 9:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis GrizzliesNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMemphis Grizzlies spreadNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) meet Oklahoma City Thunder; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMemphis Grizzlies to winNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) host or visit Oklahoma City Thunder; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies — recent results

Memphis Grizzlies have won 0 of their last 5 games; Oklahoma City Thunder have won 2 of their last 5.

Memphis Grizzlies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L101–132HOUAway
L101–147UTAHAway
L119–136DENAway
L126–142CLEHome
L115–131MILAway
Oklahoma City Thunder — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L103–111SAHome
L91–118SAAway
W127–114SAHome
L82–103SAAway
W123–108SAAway

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Memphis Grizzlies won 0, Oklahoma City Thunder won 1.

DateMemphis GrizzliesOklahoma City ThunderWinner
Jan 10116117Oklahoma City Thunder

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerStatus
Scotty Pippen Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY
Walter Clayton Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY
Karim Lopez FDAY-TO-DAY
Richie Saunders GOUT
Jaylen Wells FDAY-TO-DAY
Zach Edey CDAY-TO-DAY
Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Isaiah Hartenstein CDAY-TO-DAY
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Otega Oweh GDAY-TO-DAY
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 108.5 Team Total Points (-455)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Oklahoma City Thunder Over 108.5' for the Team Total Points is a solid choice given the team's recent scoring trends. Despite a 2-3 record in the last five games, the Thunder's offensive output has been high, averaging 117.8 points across all games and 117 points in away games. This is significantly above the Outcome Point set at 108.5. Furthermore, the model prediction projects the Thunder to score 120.76 points, a clear indication that the team's scoring potential is being recognized. Combining the Thunder's robust scoring average with the model's high prediction, it becomes evident that betting over 108.5 total points is a statistically sound decision.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Thunder vs Grizzlies, or as Grizzlies vs Thunder. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Oklahoma City Thunder 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
10 Jan 2026Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies116–117Oklahoma City Thunder
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