On Saturday 29 August 2026, Liu Ce takes on Levi Rodrigues Jr. in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Liu Ce -7.5 on the Line, priced at -149 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Liu Ce -7.5 on the Line (-149)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Liu Ce has been looking strong in his recent fights, showing great skills both standing and on the ground. He's known for finishing fights and has a bit of a reach advantage, which can help him keep Levi Rodrigues Jr. at bay. This fight is likely to be competitive, but our numbers suggest Liu can win by more than seven and a half points. Levi is tough, but he'll need to find a way to close the gap and make this a brawl. If Liu can keep his distance and use his skills, he should be able to control the fight. The biggest risk here is how closely matched they are, but our numbers give Liu a solid chance to cover that spread. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Liu Ce to Win (-167)

Odds available at Matchbook at time of publishing

Liu Ce has been looking strong lately, showing great skill in striking and grappling. He has a good chance to win this fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr., who can be tough but struggles against well-rounded fighters like Liu. If Liu can control the pace and mix his attacks, he should be able to take this one. The main risk here is that Levi has shown flashes of brilliance and can surprise opponents with his speed. Still, Liu's overall form and strategy give him a solid chance to come out on top. With the odds looking favorable, it's worth considering Liu Ce for the win. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Levi Rodrigues Jr.: last five L, dropped the last 1, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 42 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Liu Ce v Levi Rodrigues Jr.. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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