On Saturday 12 September 2026, Dan Ige takes on David Martinez in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is David Martinez -3.5 on the Line, priced at -141 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

David Martinez -3.5 on the Line (-141)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

David Martinez is favored to win by at least four points against Dan Ige, and our numbers show he has a solid chance to cover that spread. Martinez has a nice reach advantage, which could help him control the distance in the fight. Ige will need to close that gap and avoid Martinez's striking, which could be tricky given their styles. One risk to consider is that both fighters are pretty close in terms of their recent performances. If Ige can find a way to push the pace and make it a brawl, he could turn the fight in his favor. Still, if Martinez sticks to his game plan, he should pull ahead and win by a decent margin. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dan Ige to Win (+330)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Dan Ige has a tough fight ahead against David Martinez, but he's got a solid chance to pull off an upset. Ige is known for his striking skills and can keep the pressure on his opponents. While Martinez is also a strong fighter, Ige's experience and ability to stay on his feet could give him the upper hand in this matchup. The risk here is that both fighters are closely matched in skill, so it could go either way. Still, with Ige rated as an underdog who has a real shot, betting on him to win feels like a smart choice. At those odds, he could surprise everyone and take the victory. It was priced at +330 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $43 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Dan Ige: last five L-L-W-L-L, dropped the last 2, 17% of career wins came by knockout, 201 days since the last fight
  • David Martinez: last five W-W-W-W, on a 4-fight win streak, 7% of career wins came by knockout, 194 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Dan Ige v David Martinez. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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