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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom McCarthy is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 62%, edge +11.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Tom McCarthy

West Coast Eagles

+11.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+11.2% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 10:10AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
23.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.3% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +11.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.3%—62.1%1.36+11.2%

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AI Analysis

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Tom McCarthy (West Coast Eagles) Over 20.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want reliability, consistency, and a knack for rising to the occasion. Enter Tom McCarthy of the West Coast Eagles. His recent form paints a picture of a player hungry for possession. Averaging 23.4 disposals in his last five away games, he's proven he can navigate the pressure with ease. Against Fremantle specifically, he's been even more impactful, averaging 21 disposals. With a solid mix of kicks (16.6) and handballs (6.8), McCarthy has the tools to control the tempo. Add in his impressive 81.9% disposal efficiency and ability to gain meters (423.4), and you have a player poised to not just meet but exceed the 20.5 disposal line. McCarthy isn't just a safe bet; he's a calculated gamble with the stats to back it up.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Tom McCarthy - AFL Disposals market.

Quick answers:How many disposals does Tom McCarthy average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 20.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 18.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom McCarthy (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom McCarthy is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.2% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 24 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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