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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tim Membrey is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 56%, implied 67%, edge +6.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Tim Membrey

Collingwood

+6.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
+6.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
12.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.0% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +6.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%55.8%66.7%1.79+6.3%

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AI Analysis

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Tim Membrey (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When you're eyeing a player prop bet, Tim Membrey is a prime candidate for the 'Over 9.5 Disposals' market. In his last five away games, Membrey has been a consistent force, boasting an average of 15.4 disposals per game. Against the upcoming opponent, the Western Bulldogs, he's maintained an average of 13 disposals. His recent form is solid, with averages of 9.8 kicks and 5.6 handballs per game on the road. Plus, his contested possession average of 4.8 demonstrates his ability to win the hard ball. With his knack for finding space and producing quality disposals, Membrey is well-poised to surpass the 9.5 disposals line, making this prop bet a tantalizing prospect for punters looking to back a player in form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tim Membrey averaged 11.6 disposals, 1.6 goals and 5.2 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

11.6
Disposals
1.6
Goals
5.2
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Tim Membrey recorded 9 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton9253
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats19180
11 Aug 24Richmond15351
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions13182
27 Jul 24Essendon11261
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles235107
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows4002
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans8150
8 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS9023
1 Jun 24West Coast Eagles12162
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 9.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -109 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Collingwood Magpies Goals — — — Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Goals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Collingwood Magpies Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tim Membrey (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tim Membrey is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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