Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tim English is Under 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 64%, implied 55%, edge +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
AFL
Tim English
Western Bulldogs
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Under 15.5
-122 (1.82) · $100→$182
+15.8% Edge
Western Bulldogs
@
Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
71 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 70.8% · the book's price implies 54.9% · gap +15.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 70.8% | 64.1% | 54.9% | 1.56 | +15.8% |
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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Tim English Under 15.5 Disposals (-122)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Tim English has been struggling lately, with his recent stats showing he's not hitting his usual numbers. For this game against the Adelaide Crows, I think betting on him to get under 15.5 disposals is a smart move. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance of staying below that mark based on how he's been playing.
One big reason for this pick is that he typically logs fewer contested marks and clearances than usual. With the Crows putting pressure on him, he could find it tough to rack up those disposals.
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Season averages (2024)
Tim English averaged 16.5 disposals, 0.6 goals and 6.0 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Tim English recorded 15 disposals and 1 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 6 Sep 24 | Hawthorn | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 25 Aug 24 | GWS GIANTS | 17 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| 11 Aug 24 | Adelaide Crows | 16 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 Aug 24 | Melbourne | 16 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| 28 Jul 24 | Sydney Swans | 14 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 20 Jul 24 | Geelong Cats | 17 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Carlton | 19 | 0 | 6 | 5 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Port Adelaide | 17 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
| 29 Jun 24 | North Melbourne | 14 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Fremantle | 14 | 2 | 9 | 6 |
Tim English (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tim English is Under 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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