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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rory Lobb is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 65%, implied 71%, edge +7.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
AFL

Rory Lobb

Western Bulldogs

+7.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+7.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
12.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.0% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +7.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.0%64.6%71.4%1.55+7.5%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Rory Lobb Over 9.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Rory Lobb is set at over 9.5 disposals, and the odds of -250 suggest a solid chance for this bet to hit. Our numbers show that Lobb has been involved in a lot of plays lately, recording an average of about 1.5 more disposals than usual. He's also been getting into good positions, with more marks and clearances than the average player, which should help him rack up those touches. The most concrete risk is that the game could be tightly contested, affecting how much time Lobb gets the ball. Still, with his recent form and strong involvement, this bet looks promising. Just remember, while we like the chances, there are no guarantees in sports.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Rory Lobb averaged 13.6 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

13.6
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.4
Marks
2.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Rory Lobb recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn13072
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS10032
18 Aug 24North Melbourne13055
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows16081
2 Aug 24Melbourne20040
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans190101
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats21093
13 Jul 24Carlton10071
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide14063
29 Jun 24North Melbourne16082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 2.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Rory Lobb (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rory Lobb is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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