Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Wood is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 72%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:46AM UTC
AFL

Mason Wood

St Kilda

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 15 Mar, 4:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
14.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.0% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%—72.5%1.37+0.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Mason Wood (St Kilda) Over 11.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, let's talk Mason Wood – a player who's got the tools to snag this Over 11.5 disposals bet when the St Kilda Saints clash with the Melbourne Demons. Wood's been heating up, averaging 11.2 disposals in his last five away games, and with previous form against this opponent, notching up 20.7 disposals. His recent contested possessions and kicks averages are no joke, sitting at 4.6 and 8.2 respectively. Plus, with a sharp 60.3% disposal efficiency and a knack for gaining territory, he's a prime candidate to split the middle with this line. Keep an eye on Wood to make an impact in the midfield battle and surpass that 11.5 mark. Trust the numbers, trust Mason Wood.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Mason Wood averaged 18.3 disposals, 0.9 goals and 7.4 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

18.3
Disposals
0.9
Goals
7.4
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Mason Wood recorded 16 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton16282
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats17191
11 Aug 24Richmond22090
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions16061
27 Jul 24Essendon19081
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles19391
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows15237
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans14161
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide191131
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions22183
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Mason Wood (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Wood is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 15 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.