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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Redman is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 68%, edge +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
AFL

Mason Redman

Essendon

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
+3.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
20.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.6% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +3.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%—68.5%1.40+3.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mason Redman (Essendon) Over 17.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mason Redman is set to make waves in Geelong this weekend, with his recent form pointing towards a standout performance. In his last five away clashes, Redman has been a midfield maestro, racking up an average of 23.4 disposals per game. His ability to find space and create opportunities is evident in his 81.8% disposal efficiency, showcasing his composure under pressure. Facing the Geelong Cats, Redman has historically performed well, averaging 18 disposals in his last five encounters against them. With a current hit streak of 2 games and an impressive 15 out of 20 hit rate overall, Redman is in prime form to surpass the 17.5 disposal line set for him. Expect him to be a pivotal figure in Essendon's midfield battles, as he looks to drive his team forward and snag a win on enemy territory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Mason Redman averaged 21.1 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.0 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

21.1
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.0
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Mason Redman recorded 22 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Brisbane Lions22092
16 Aug 24Sydney Swans19054
10 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS27090
4 Aug 24Fremantle27080
27 Jul 24St Kilda16061
19 Jul 24Adelaide Crows24151
13 Jul 24Melbourne20074
5 Jul 24Collingwood19060
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats12054
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles220102
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 17.5 Over -217 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 15.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mason Redman (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Redman is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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