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The latest Bet Better model pick for Marcus Windhager is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 64%, edge +6.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Marcus Windhager

St Kilda

+6.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
+6.6% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
22.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.3% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap +6.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.3%51.9%63.7%1.93+6.6%

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AI Analysis

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Marcus Windhager (St Kilda) Over 19.5 Disposals (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, Marcus Windhager's recent form makes him a standout choice for hitting over 19.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between St Kilda Saints and Carlton Blues at Marvel Stadium. Windhager has been a midfield maestro, averaging 23 disposals in his last five home games, showcasing his ability to find the footy at will. His contested possessions and intercepts have been on the rise, indicating his strong presence in the thick of the action. With a solid disposal efficiency of 70.4% at home and a reliable hit streak of 4 games, Windhager is primed to continue his ball-winning ways against Carlton. Expect him to rack up the possessions, split the middle, and deliver for punters looking to back his over in this market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Marcus Windhager averaged 18.1 disposals, 0.0 goals and 2.4 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

18.1
Disposals
0.0
Goals
2.4
Marks
5.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Jul 24 vs Sydney Swans), Marcus Windhager recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans11012
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide10026
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions9024
8 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS15035
1 Jun 24West Coast Eagles19038
26 May 24Melbourne16011
18 May 24Fremantle17027
11 May 24Hawthorn18049
4 May 24North Melbourne25048
26 Apr 24Port Adelaide21024
Quick answers:How many disposals does Marcus Windhager average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 19.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 18.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 17.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marcus Windhager (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marcus Windhager is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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