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The latest Bet Better model pick for Liam Duggan is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 56%, implied 74%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
AFL

Liam Duggan

West Coast Eagles

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+2.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 6:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
19.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.9% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +2.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.9%55.6%73.5%1.80+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) Over 15.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Liam Duggan. The West Coast Eagles' reliable ball magnet is set to shine at Optus Stadium against the Collingwood Magpies. Duggan's recent form is red hot, averaging a hefty 21.2 disposals per game in his last five home matches. Facing Collingwood only boosts his numbers, as he's been gobbling up an impressive 34.5 disposals on average in their recent encounters. With a knack for contested possessions and a stellar disposal efficiency of 70.7%, Duggan is a safe bet to surpass the 15.5 disposal line. He's on a five-game hit streak at home, showing consistency and hunger. Back Duggan to rack up the possessions and make your Sunday a winning one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Liam Duggan averaged 21.5 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.6 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

21.5
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.6
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Liam Duggan recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats8002
18 Aug 24Carlton24094
10 Aug 24North Melbourne14034
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS22158
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6011
7 Jul 24Melbourne20061
30 Jun 24Hawthorn280143
23 Jun 24Essendon19054
8 Jun 24North Melbourne18042
1 Jun 24St Kilda25082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 13.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Liam Duggan is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 9 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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