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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 78%, implied 88%, edge +2.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Josh Weddle

Hawthorn

+2.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+2.2% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
15.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.9% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +2.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.9%77.8%87.7%1.29+2.2%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Josh Weddle Over 9.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle has a solid advantage in getting the ball inside 50 more often than Hawthorn. This could lead to more opportunities for their players to rack up disposals. Josh Weddle is really stepping up, and with Fremantle's strong recent form, he has a good chance to collect more than 9.5 disposals in this game. However, one risk is that both teams have been winning a lot lately, which means this could be a close contest. Still, Weddle has shown he can perform well, especially in games like this. With Fremantle pushing hard for the win, expect Weddle to be busy on the field.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Josh Weddle averaged 14.2 disposals, 0.4 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

14.2
Disposals
0.4
Goals
4.0
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Josh Weddle recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14024
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs14020
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16132
18 Aug 24Richmond13061
11 Aug 24Carlton18361
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS14130
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows13024
20 Jul 24Collingwood14050
13 Jul 24Fremantle10151
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 12.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 11.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Weddle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Weddle is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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