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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Battle is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 72%, edge +0.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
AFL

Josh Battle

Hawthorn

+0.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.8% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
19.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.2% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.2%60.1%72.5%1.67+0.8%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Josh Battle Over 16.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle's strong inside 50 game gives them plenty of scoring chances, and that could mean more opportunities for Josh Battle to rack up disposals. They're getting it inside 50 almost 8 more times per game than Hawthorn lately, which should help Battle stay busy. Both teams have had success recently, with each winning 7 of their last 10 games, but Fremantle tends to struggle with contested balls. This might make it harder for Battle to hit that over on disposals if the game gets tight. Still, the numbers suggest he has a solid shot at getting over 16.5 disposals today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Josh Battle averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 7.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
7.6
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Josh Battle recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton13061
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats16081
11 Aug 24Richmond28092
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions24091
27 Jul 24Essendon19093
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles16161
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows21051
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans17090
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide16060
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions10042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Battle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Battle is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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