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The latest Bet Better model pick for John Noble is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 75%, edge +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

John Noble

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.6% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
25.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.7% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.7%—75.2%1.32+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 21.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the Gold Coast Suns facing off against the Melbourne Demons at People First Stadium, keep your eyes on John Noble for an explosive performance. Noble has been on fire lately, averaging a whopping 31.2 disposals over his last five home games. His ability to rack up possessions, combined with his impressive 87.6% disposal efficiency, makes him a key player to watch. Against Melbourne, he has been even more dominant, averaging 25.6 disposals over their last encounters. With a line set at 21.5, Noble's recent form and historical stats suggest he's primed to smash through that mark, making the Over a tantalizing bet for footy fans looking to back a playmaker in top form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

John Noble averaged 18.9 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

18.9
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.7
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), John Noble recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne20072
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions20044
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans14043
3 Aug 24Carlton12014
28 Jul 24Richmond21031
20 Jul 24Hawthorn7014
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats28053
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17043
16 Jun 24North Melbourne8025
10 Jun 24Melbourne24072
Quick answers:How many disposals does John Noble average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 19.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Noble is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Gold Coast Suns on Sunday 2 August at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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