Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 70%, edge +0.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
AFL
Jaeger O'Meara
Fremantle
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 14.5
-233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+0.4% Edge
Gold Coast Suns
@
Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 6 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
70 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 70.3% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +0.4%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 70.3% | — | 69.9% | 1.42 | +0.4% |
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Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jaeger O'Meara is a solid pick for the Over 14.5 disposals in the Fremantle Dockers vs. Gold Coast Suns game. With a model predicting him to reach 17.2 disposals and a consistent L5 average of 13.4 disposals at home, he faces an opponent he historically averages 18.7 disposals against. O'Meara's recent form includes strong contested possessions (6.6 avg) and kicks (6.2 avg), showcasing his ability to impact the game. Despite a slight edge of 0.4% in this bet, his overall hit rate of 15/20 on disposals makes him a reliable choice, especially playing at home where he performs consistently.
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Season averages (2024)
Jaeger O'Meara averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jaeger O'Meara recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 25 Aug 24 | Port Adelaide | 19 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 Aug 24 | GWS GIANTS | 15 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Geelong Cats | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 Aug 24 | Essendon | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 27 Jul 24 | West Coast Eagles | 20 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 21 Jul 24 | Melbourne | 21 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Hawthorn | 19 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Richmond | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 29 Jun 24 | Sydney Swans | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 Jun 24 | Gold Coast SUNS | 19 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaeger O'Meara is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 6 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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