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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Ross is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 75%, edge +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
AFL

Jack Ross

Richmond

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.9% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
23.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.1% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.1%75.2%1.31+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Jack Ross to go Over 19.5 disposals in this Western Bulldogs vs. Richmond Tigers clash, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Ross has been a midfield workhorse lately, averaging 24 disposals over his last five away games. His ability to find the footy in contested situations (13.4 avg) and maintain a solid disposal efficiency (76.5%) sets him up as a reliable accumulator. Against the Bulldogs specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 17 disposals per encounter. With a recent hit rate of 4 out of 5 away games exceeding the 19.5 mark, and a consistent overall hit rate, Ross is in prime position to continue his stellar form. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and driving the Tigers forward.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jack Ross averaged 18.1 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

18.1
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.7
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jack Ross recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS14053
18 Aug 24Hawthorn19044
7 Apr 24St Kilda24041
31 Mar 24Sydney Swans17023
24 Mar 24Port Adelaide26160
14 Mar 24Carlton17031
9 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS10020
27 Aug 23Port Adelaide16035
19 Aug 23North Melbourne23041
13 Aug 23St Kilda18033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 19.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 18.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Ross (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Ross is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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