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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Higgins is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 77%, implied 88%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:06AM UTC
AFL

Jack Higgins

St Kilda

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+2.6% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
1.5 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.3% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals90.3%76.9%87.7%1.30+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Higgins (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jack Higgins of the St Kilda Saints stands out as a prime pick. Over his last five home games, Higgins has been a scoring machine, averaging a solid 2.2 goals per game. With a sharp eye for the big sticks and a knack for finding space inside 50, he's been a constant threat to opposition defenses. Against Carlton, he's been even more lethal, averaging 1.3 goals in their recent matchups. Higgins' recent form is red hot, with a current hit streak of 4 at home and 9 overall, showcasing his consistency in front of goal. With an implied probability of 87.7% for him to bag at least one goal, the numbers are firmly in our favor for Higgins to light up the scoreboard once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jack Higgins averaged 12.2 disposals, 1.8 goals and 3.0 marks per game across 20 games in 2024.

12.2
Disposals
1.8
Goals
3.0
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Jack Higgins recorded 13 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton13241
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats17372
11 Aug 24Richmond8130
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions4033
27 Jul 24Essendon10242
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles10124
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows7014
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans9325
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide9122
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions14542
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
16 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Higgins (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Higgins is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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