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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Crisp is Over 7.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 55%, edge +15.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Jack Crisp

Collingwood

+15.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Handballs Over 7.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+15.4% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
9.4 Handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.6% · the book's price implies 55.2% · gap +15.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs70.6%59.1%55.2%1.69+15.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Crisp (Collingwood) Over 7.5 player_handballs_over (-123)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop in the AFL, you want a solid blend of skill and opportunity. Jack Crisp of the Collingwood Magpies fits the bill perfectly for Friday's clash against the Western Bulldogs at the MCG. Crisp has been a reliable ball-winner, averaging 9.4 handballs per game with a model edge suggesting he's primed to surpass the line of 7.5 set by the bookies. Playing away might seem like a hurdle for some, but Crisp has shown the ability to step up on the road. With the Magpies looking to control the midfield battle, Crisp is likely to be in the thick of things, racking up possessions and distributing the ball effectively. In a game where every possession counts, backing Crisp to go over 7.5 handballs is a smart play backed by data and game dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 85.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Season averages (2024)

Jack Crisp averaged 20.3 disposals, 0.6 goals and 2.8 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

20.3
Disposals
0.6
Goals
2.8
Marks
5.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Jack Crisp recorded 20 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne20130
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions17032
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans23114
3 Aug 24Carlton19115
28 Jul 24Richmond19014
20 Jul 24Hawthorn22015
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats15152
5 Jul 24Essendon24364
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17009
16 Jun 24North Melbourne27147
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Handballs 7.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 15.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
21 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Handballs Pending

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About This Player

Jack Crisp (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 85.7% on tracked Jack Crisp picks. The latest model pick for Jack Crisp is Over 7.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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