Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 61%, implied 72%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL
Harry Morrison
Hawthorn
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 14.5
-263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.1% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks
@
Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 72.6% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.1%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 72.6% | 60.6% | 72.5% | 1.65 | +0.1% |
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Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-263)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Season averages (2024)
Harry Morrison averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Harry Morrison recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 13 Sep 24 | Port Adelaide | 23 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 Sep 24 | Western Bulldogs | 22 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 Aug 24 | North Melbourne | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 Aug 24 | Richmond | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 Aug 24 | Carlton | 20 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 Jul 24 | Fremantle | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 Jul 24 | Geelong Cats | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 30 Jun 24 | West Coast Eagles | 16 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| 5 May 24 | Western Bulldogs | 11 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 Apr 24 | Sydney Swans | 14 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 03 Sep 26 |
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers |
Disposals |
14.5 |
Over |
-263 |
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Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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