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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for George Wardlaw is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 55%, edge +18.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:46AM UTC
AFL

George Wardlaw

North Melbourne

+18.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+18.6% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 6:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
19.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.9% · the book's price implies 55.2% · gap +18.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%55.2%1.35+18.6%

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AI Analysis

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George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) Over 16.5 Disposals (-123)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at George Wardlaw's recent form on the road, it's clear he's been a pivotal figure for the Kangaroos in the midfield. Averaging 16.8 disposals in his last five away games, he's shown consistency in finding the footy. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he's been particularly effective against with a 20-disposal average in their recent matchups, Wardlaw seems primed to continue his strong run. With his ability to cover ground (320.2 metres gained per game) and maintain possession efficiently (69.5% disposal efficiency), he's poised to surpass the 16.5 disposal line. The numbers suggest Wardlaw is in a groove that could see him snagging plenty of contested possessions and racking up the kicks and handballs needed to split the middle on this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

George Wardlaw averaged 19.1 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

19.1
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.3
Marks
4.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Hawthorn), George Wardlaw recorded 20 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Hawthorn20116
18 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16104
27 Jul 24Geelong Cats22025
21 Jul 24Carlton19042
13 Jul 24Sydney Swans16014
22 Jun 24Melbourne23038
16 Jun 24Collingwood30163
8 Jun 24West Coast Eagles21037
25 May 24Port Adelaide20063
19 May 24Essendon15063
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 West Coast Eagles @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
05 Jul 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

George Wardlaw (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for George Wardlaw is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.6% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 5 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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