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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Edward Allan is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 54%, implied 72%, edge +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:45AM UTC
AFL

Edward Allan

Collingwood

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+3.8% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
19.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.2% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +3.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.2%53.7%72.5%1.86+3.8%

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AI Analysis

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Edward Allan (Collingwood) Over 15.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable midfield performances, Edward Allan from Collingwood Magpies has been a shining star. In his last five away games, Allan has been a disposal magnet, averaging a solid 20.4 possessions. His ability to find the footy consistently, with an average of 11 handballs and 9.4 kicks per game, sets him apart as a key playmaker. Allan's recent form against the upcoming opponent also bodes well, with an average of 16 disposals in their last encounters. Add in his exceptional disposal efficiency of 68.7% and a healthy average of 368 meters gained per game, and it's clear Allan is poised to make an impact on the field. With a streak of 12 consecutive games hitting the over on disposals, including a perfect 6 for 6 when playing away, betting on Allan to surpass 15.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs at the MCG seems like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
14avg disposals recent
Season best21
Disposals last 2avg 14 · hi 21 · lo 7
721

Edward Allan has a disposals high of 21 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Edward Allan (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Edward Allan is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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