Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 75%, edge +17.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
AFL

Connor O'Sullivan

Geelong Cats

+17.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
+17.3% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
16.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.9% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +17.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals91.9%—74.6%1.09+17.3%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games4/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -294 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Connor O'Sullivan's lines for Fri 11 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Disposals 9.5
-109 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many disposals does Connor O'Sullivan average?

Connor O'Sullivan's disposals line is 9.5, best over price -109 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Marks 4.5
How many disposals does Connor O'Sullivan average?

Connor O'Sullivan's marks line is 4.5.

Marks 3.5
How many disposals does Connor O'Sullivan average?

Connor O'Sullivan's marks line is 3.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Connor O'Sullivan has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.580%
o11.570%
o13.560%
o14.540%
o16.510%
o17.510%
o18.510%
o20.510%
o21.50%
o23.50%
o24.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Connor O'Sullivan is averaging 11.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.6
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall
Quick answers:How many disposals does Connor O'Sullivan average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers on Friday 11 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.