Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Walker is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 67%, implied 63%, edge +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:44AM UTC
AFL
Brandon Walker
Fremantle
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Over 9.5
-167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+12.9% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks
@
Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
75 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 75.4% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +12.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 75.4% | 67.1% | 62.5% | 1.84 | +12.9% |
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Brandon Walker (Fremantle) Over 9.5 Disposals (-167)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Walker (Fremantle) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -167 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Season averages (2024)
Brandon Walker averaged 14.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Brandon Walker recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 25 Aug 24 | Port Adelaide | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 Aug 24 | GWS GIANTS | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 Aug 24 | Geelong Cats | 22 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| 4 Aug 24 | Essendon | 16 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 27 Jul 24 | West Coast Eagles | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 Jul 24 | Melbourne | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 29 Jun 24 | Sydney Swans | 14 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 Jun 24 | Western Bulldogs | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| 2 Jun 24 | Melbourne | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 May 24 | Collingwood | 17 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 03 Sep 26 |
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers |
Disposals |
9.5 |
Over |
-167 |
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Brandon Walker (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Walker is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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