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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sonia Citron is Under 22.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 64%, implied 51%, edge +12.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:44AM UTC
WNBA

Sonia Citron

WNBA

+12.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Ast Under 22.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+12.9% Edge
Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles · Indoor
Sat 29 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
20.6 Pts+Ast
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 63.9% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +12.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Ast63.9%—51.0%2.10+12.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/3
Last 10 games2/3

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Sparks vs Washington Mystics: Sonia Citron Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Sparks have really struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. This puts a lot of pressure on players like Sonia Citron to step up, but she has been up and down with her scoring and assists. Her recent games show a lot of variation, with assists ranging from 2 to 9. When players are inconsistent, it makes it tougher to rely on them for big numbers. On the other side, the Mystics are in much better form, winning 7 of their last 10. They allow fewer rebounds than the Sparks, which means Citron might not get as many chances to score or assist. With these factors in play, the under on 22.5 points and assists feels like a smart pick. The main risk is that Citron could have a surprising breakout game, but it seems unlikely given her recent performances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (31 picks) 54.8% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many points does Sonia Citron average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Reb+Ast 25.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Pts+Ast 21.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Pts+Ast — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Reb+Ast — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Washington Mystics @ Los Angeles Sparks Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sonia Citron is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 54.8% on tracked Sonia Citron picks. The latest model pick for Sonia Citron is Under 22.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Los Angeles Sparks on Saturday 29 August at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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