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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sabrina Ionescu is Under 16.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 59%, implied 53%, edge +5.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
WNBA

Sabrina Ionescu

WNBA

+5.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 16.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+5.7% Edge
Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty
Barclays Center, New York · Indoor
Sat 29 Aug, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
59 in 100
Predicted
15.8 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 58.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +5.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points58.9%—53.2%2.02+5.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky: Sabrina Ionescu Under 16.5 Points (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Sabrina Ionescu has been up and down lately, with her scoring ranging widely in recent games. The New York Liberty are on a winning streak, but their defense has been letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, which could limit how many chances she gets. On the other hand, the Chicago Sky have also struggled, winning only four of their last ten games. Taking the under 16.5 points for Ionescu makes sense here, especially since her scoring has been inconsistent. The risk lies in her ability to turn things around since she can sometimes surprise with a big game. Still, based on how she's been playing lately, this bet feels like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Aug 26 Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty Points 16.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty Pts+Reb 20.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty Pts+Reb+Ast 25.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
29 Aug 26 Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty Assists (Alt) — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty Reb+Ast — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty Reb+Ast (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sabrina Ionescu is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sabrina Ionescu is Under 16.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty on Saturday 29 August at Barclays Center, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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