Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kelsey Plum is Under 2.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 45%, edge +22.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Assists
Under 2.5
+120 (2.20) · $100→$220
+22.8% Edge
Washington Mystics
@
Phoenix Mercury
PHX Arena, Phoenix · Indoor
Fri 28 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 1,718 of 2,295 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Plum (leg) will miss the remainder of the 2026 WNBA season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports.
updated Aug 31, 2:46PM UTC · 9d old
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How often this wins
68 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 68.3% · the book's price implies 45.5% · gap +22.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Assists | 68.3% | — | 45.5% | 2.34 | +22.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 8/10 |
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Kelsey Plum Under 2.5 Assists (+120)
Odds available at betonlineag at time of publishing Phoenix Mercury play Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Friday 28 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kelsey Plum Under 2.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. The game is at PHX Arena in Phoenix. Our model expects Kelsey Plum to finish with about 2.2 assists. The line for this one is 2.5. Our number sits below that line. This one is priced as an outside chance.
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Kelsey Plum is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kelsey Plum is Under 2.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.8% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury on Friday 28 August at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
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