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Model picks & player props
Sevilla
VS
Valencia

Sevilla vs Valencia Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:52AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Mestalla, Valencia
Outdoor
Sun 7 Dec 2025, 3:15PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Draw Head to Head (3-Way) +240

The model graded 2 markets for Sevilla vs Valencia (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $340 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 7 Dec 2025, 3:15PM at Mestalla.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win33.5%
The price says29.4%
Best price+240
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Draw Long-shot34% chance +240
Moneyline Long-shot34% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Sevilla and Valencia last met on Sun 7 Dec 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Draw · $100 returned $340

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 34 bookmakers compared
Winner
Valencia3.95+295Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw3.30+230Grosvenor
Sevilla2.20+120Ladbrokes (UK)
Total goals
Over2.52.44+144Kalshi
Under2.51.68-147Matchbook
Market backing Sevilla: 2.44 → 2.24 (32 books)

Sevilla vs Valencia odds by bookmaker

34 books · best price in green
BookValencia winSevilla winSevilla -0.25Over 2.5Under 2.5
BetOnline3.86+2862.13+113
Bovada3.75+2752.11+1111.80-125
LowVig3.86+2862.13+113
Matchbook3.95+2952.20+1201.86-1162.42+1421.68-147
Bally Bet3.55+2552.14+1142.38+1381.56-179
BetMGM3.40+2402.20+1202.30+1301.54-185
betPARX3.55+2552.14+1142.38+1381.56-179
BetRivers3.55+2552.14+1142.38+1381.56-179
Casumo3.55+2552.14+1142.38+1381.56-179
Grosvenor3.65+2652.16+1162.38+1381.56-179
LeoVegas3.55+2552.12+1122.25+1251.60-167
Polymarket3.92+2922.20+1202.47+1471.68-147
William Hill3.60+2602.15+1152.30+1301.60-167
Bet Victor3.50+2502.05+105

Since the market opened: Sevilla to win opened 2.30, best now 2.20; the over 2.5 opened 2.37, best now 2.47 (decimal, best book).

Market backing Sevilla: 2.44 → 2.24 (32 books)

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Draw
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sevilla FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Valencia CF

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sevilla vs Valencia: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSevilla @ ValenciaNo line posted
2-4-2past meetings (last 8)
Draw34%Home form9-7-4Away form5-7-8
past meetings, home wins2 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Valencia have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 2. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreSevilla @ ValenciaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Valencia65%Sevilla60%
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Valencia's and 60% of Sevilla's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsSevilla @ ValenciaNo line posted
2 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.540%past meetings avg2.0
past meetings, over 2.52 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.0 goals, over 2.5 in 2 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Sevilla @ Valencia — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Sevilla at Valencia — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
07 Dec 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✓ HIT
07 Dec 25 Moneyline Draw ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sevilla vs Valencia in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 7 December 2025 at Mestalla. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Valencia 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Mar 2026Valencia @ Sevilla0–2Valencia
Today's selected board

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