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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Sparks
VS
Seattle Storm

Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 4:41AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Indoor
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 9:04PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
60.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 185.5 Alt Total Points -323

The model graded 70 markets for Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $131 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 60.5% across 43 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 30 Aug 2026, 9:04PM at Climate Pledge Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win92.8%
The price says72.8%
Best price-323
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Under 185.5 High93% chance -323
Alt Total Points High92% chance
Alt Total Points High94% chance
Alt Total Points High93% chance
Alt Total Points High94% chance
Alt Total Points High94% chance
Alt Total Points High95% chance
Alt Total Points High94% chance
Alt Total Points High95% chance
Assists × 3 props Highup to 80%
Assists (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 74%
Points × 10 props Highup to 73%
Pts+Reb × 7 props Highup to 71%
Reb+Ast × 3 props Highup to 69%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Sparks and Seattle Storm last met on Sun 30 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every WNBA game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 185.5 · $100 returned $129

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 1,718 of 2,295 right (wnba totals unders)
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Under
196.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Seattle StormSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Seattle StormAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Sparks

  • Aaliyah Nye GOut

Seattle Storm

  • Ezi Magbegor FDay-to-day
  • Jade Melbourne GDay-to-day
  • Awa Fam COut
  • Natisha Hiedeman GOut
Availability updated Sep 9, 10:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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The preview

Written 31 Aug

Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction & Picks (Rae Burrell Key Factor): Odds Analysis & Top Props

On Monday 31 August 2026, Seattle Storm play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Seattle Storm +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Seattle Storm +1.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Seattle Storm and Los Angeles Sparks are both struggling lately, with each team losing by around four to five points in their recent games. While the Storm have a slightly better turnover rate against opponents, the Sparks are not far behind. This means both teams might have a tough time taking control of the game. Betting on the Storm to win by 1.5 points feels reasonable since they play at home, but it's risky since our numbers show it's pretty much a toss-up. The Sparks don't give up many rebounds, which could make things tight. Still, the Storm have a chance to pull this one off. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 184.5 Total Points (-312)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Seattle Storm are set to take on the Los Angeles Sparks at Climate Pledge Arena, and things look tough for the Sparks. They've only won 2 of their last 10 games, and they struggle with rebounding, giving up an average of 35.3 boards per game. Seattle's defense could make it even harder for them to score. Our numbers suggest a combined total around 156.5 points, which is well below the line of 184.5. The Sparks' recent form doesn't inspire much confidence, and they might find it challenging to keep up. It was priced at -312 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.20 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rae Burrell Over 15.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Sparks have been struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and they tend to give up a lot of rebounds and three-point attempts. Rae Burrell has shown a nice scoring range lately, putting up anywhere from 9 to 28 points in her recent games. With the Sparks allowing many scoring chances, betting on Burrell to score over 15.5 points seems like a good idea. The biggest worry is that the game is rated close to even, so it could go either way. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ariel Atkins Under 11.5 Points and Assists (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For Ariel Atkins to score under 11.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to have a quiet game. The Sparks have struggled recently, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and they allow quite a few rebounds and three-point attempts, which can limit opportunities for players like Atkins. In her last 10 games, her scoring has been all over the place, with highs and lows that suggest she might not find her rhythm tonight. The risk here is that Atkins has had a few decent games, but overall, her shooting numbers show inconsistency. At home, the Seattle Storm might really tighten up their defense, making it tougher for her to hit those combined points and assists. Given the Sparks' recent form and the matchup, it seems likely she could stay under that mark. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Flau'jae Johnson Under 7.5 Rebounds and Assists (+112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The odds for Flau'jae Johnson to grab under 7.5 rebounds and assists are looking good at +116. The Sparks have been struggling lately, winning only 2 out of their last 10 games. They also allow a lot of rebounds, giving up over 35 a game, which could make it harder for Johnson to pile up those numbers. While the Sparks do let opponents shoot quite a few three-pointers, Johnson's contributions might be limited. Plus, there's a chance she could be more focused on scoring than racking up assists. The Sparks' overall form makes this a tricky bet, but our numbers suggest it's worth a look. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jade Melbourne SEA Assists
Rae Burrell LA Assists (Alt)
Rae Burrell LA Assists
Zia Cooke SEA Points
Jordan Horston SEA Points

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Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm — recent results

Seattle Storm have won 1 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Sparks have won 3 of their last 5.

Seattle Storm — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L74–90LAHome
W90–78TORHome
L70–92DALAway
L80–82CHIHome
L82–84PORHome
Los Angeles Sparks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W90–74SEAAway
W88–82WSHHome
L71–78ATLHome
W77–68CONHome
L88–124ATLHome

Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Seattle Storm won 1, Los Angeles Sparks won 2.

DateSeattle StormLos Angeles SparksWinner
Aug 307490Los Angeles Sparks
Jul 78264Seattle Storm
Jun 118388Los Angeles Sparks

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Storm
PlayerStatus
Ezi Magbegor FDAY-TO-DAY
Jade Melbourne GDAY-TO-DAY
Awa Fam COUT
Natisha Hiedeman GOUT
Los Angeles Sparks
PlayerStatus
Aaliyah Nye GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm — model preview

Seattle Storm v Los Angeles Sparks, 31 August 2026. Top of the list: Seattle Storm +1.5 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Monday 31 August 2026, Seattle Storm play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Seattle Storm +1.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Seattle Storm +1.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Seattle Storm and Los Angeles Sparks are both struggling lately, with each team losing by around four to five points in their recent games. While the Storm have a slightly better turnover rate against opponents, the Sparks are not far behind. This means both teams might have a tough time taking control of the game. Betting on the Storm to win by 1.5 points feels reasonable since they play at home, but it's risky since our numbers show it's pretty much a toss-up. The Sparks don't give up many rebounds, which could make things tight. Still, the Storm have a chance to pull this one off. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
43
Total Picks
60.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
30 Aug 26 Spread Seattle Storm +2 ✗ MISS
30 Aug 26 Spread Seattle Storm +1.5 ✗ MISS
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 196.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 195.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 194.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 193.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 192.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 191.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 190.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 189 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 189.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 188 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 188.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 187.5 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Under 187 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Sparks vs Storm, or as Storm vs Sparks. The most recent game between them was Sunday 30 August 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 60.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Los Angeles Sparks 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Aug 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm74–90Los Angeles Sparks
7 Jul 2026Seattle Storm @ Los Angeles Sparks64–82Seattle Storm
11 Jun 2026Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm83–88Los Angeles Sparks
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