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The latest Bet Better model pick for Thomas Duffy is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:44AM UTC
NRL

Thomas Duffy

NRL

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
+0.2% Edge
Brisbane Broncos @ Canterbury Bulldogs
Thu 3 Sep, 9:50AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 147 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.0% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.0%—0.8%—+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Brisbane Broncos: Thomas Duffy Over 1.5 Tries (+12500)

Odds available at TAB at time of publishing

On Thursday 3 September 2026, Canterbury Bulldogs host Brisbane Broncos in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Thomas Duffy Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Thomas Duffy scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Brisbane Broncos @ Canterbury Bulldogs Tries Over — — — Pending
27 Aug 26 Melbourne Storm @ Brisbane Broncos Tries Over — — — Pending

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About This Player

Thomas Duffy is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Thomas Duffy is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Broncos vs Canterbury Bulldogs on Thursday 3 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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