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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ethan Roberts is Over 1.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
NRL

Ethan Roberts

NRL

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 1.5 +17500 (176.00) · $100→$17,600
+0.3% Edge
Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers
Sun 6 Sep, 6:05AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 147 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 0.9% · the book's price implies 0.6% · gap +0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over0.9%—0.6%—+0.3%

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AI Analysis

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Penrith Panthers vs Wests Tigers: Ethan Roberts Over 1.5 Tries (+17500)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Wests Tigers in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Ethan Roberts Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Ethan Roberts scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +17500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1760 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Sep 26 Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers Tries Over — — — Pending
29 Aug 26 Wests Tigers @ North Queensland Cowboys Tries Over — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ethan Roberts is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ethan Roberts is Over 1.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Wests Tigers vs Penrith Panthers on Sunday 6 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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