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The latest Bet Better model pick for Clayton Faulalo is Over 2.5 on Tries Over.
On Tries Over, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 1%, implied 1%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NRL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:44AM UTC
NRL

Clayton Faulalo

NRL

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Tries Over Over 2.5 +9000 (91.00) · $100→$9,100
+0.1% Edge
St George Illawarra Dragons @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
Fri 28 Aug, 8:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nrl totals overs: 87 of 147 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 1.2% · the book's price implies 1.1% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tries Over1.2%—1.1%85.02+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons: Clayton Faulalo Over 2.5 Tries (+9000)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

On Friday 28 August 2026, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Clayton Faulalo Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Clayton Faulalo scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +9000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $910 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Clayton Faulalo is tracked by the Bet Better model for NRL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clayton Faulalo is Over 2.5 on Tries Over. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is St George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles on Friday 28 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NRL betting strategy.

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