Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Worthy is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 34%, implied 24%, edge +10.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+320 (4.20) · $100→$420
+10.5% Edge
Denver Broncos
@
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 12:15AM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Worthy (shoulder) failed to bring in his only target in the Chiefs' 9-9 preseason tie with the Seahawks on Friday.
updated Aug 29, 3:32AM UTC · 12d old
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How often this wins
34 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 34.3% · the book's price implies 23.8% · gap +10.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 34.3% | 34.3% | 23.8% | 4.20 | +10.5% |
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Xavier Worthy (KC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+320)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Tuesday 15 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Xavier Worthy (KC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +320 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $42 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Xavier Worthy's lines for Tue 15 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+325 best over price · 13 books
Xavier Worthy's anytime td line is posted, best over price +325 across 13 books.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Xavier Worthy's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Denver Broncos @ Kansas City ChiefsAnytime TD +320
Xavier Worthy has a live NFL anytime td market for Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs priced at +320.
Rushing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · rushing yds
model over67%tips tracked1
Xavier Worthy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Xavier Worthy (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Worthy is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday 15 September at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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