Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyquan Thornton is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 13 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 13%, implied 4%, edge +8.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
+8.7% Edge
Denver Broncos
@
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 12:15AM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Thornton secured one of two targets for 11 yards in the Chiefs' 9-9 preseason tie with the Seahawks on Friday.
updated Aug 29, 4:42AM UTC · 11d old
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How often this wins
13 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 12.6% · the book's price implies 3.9% · gap +8.7%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 12.6% | 12.6% | 3.9% | 26.00 | +8.7% |
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Tyquan Thornton (KC) Yes Player last td (+2500)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Tuesday 15 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyquan Thornton (KC) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Tyquan Thornton's lines for Tue 15 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Tyquan Thornton's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
+106 best over price · 11 books
Tyquan Thornton's receptions (alt) line is 2.5, best over price +106 across 11 books.
Receptions (Alt) 1.5
+106 best over price · 11 books
Tyquan Thornton's receptions (alt) line is 1.5, best over price +106 across 11 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5
Tyquan Thornton's receiving yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Receiving Yards 19.5
-111 best over price · 7 books
Tyquan Thornton's receiving yards line is 19.5, best over price -111 across 7 books.
Receiving Yards 18.5
-111 best over price · 7 books
Tyquan Thornton's receiving yards line is 18.5, best over price -111 across 7 books.
Receiving Yards 20.5
-111 best over price · 5 books
Tyquan Thornton's receiving yards line is 20.5, best over price -111 across 5 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Denver Broncos @ Kansas City ChiefsU 20.5 -114 20.5posted line · receiving yds
Tyquan Thornton has a live NFL receiving yards market for Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs: under 20.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
Receptions11 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–2.5model over49%tips tracked11
Tyquan Thornton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 11 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tyquan Thornton (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyquan Thornton is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday 15 September at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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